PopulationTheGuide

Population news

Milestones, research, and trends in human population — with context from the data.

World population reaches 8 billion

On 15 November 2022 the UN marked the symbolic crossing of 8 billion people — a milestone that took just 11 years to arrive from 7 billion, and reflects both falling death rates and a fertility decline that is still uneven across regions.

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Global fertility rate edges closer to replacement level

The world average TFR has fallen to roughly 2.3, with more than half of all countries already below the 2.1 replacement threshold. A new Lancet study projects peak population before 2060 and a slow decline from there.

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One in six people will be over 65 by 2050

The UN's 2024 World Population Prospects confirmed a historic shift: the number of people aged 65 or older is set to outnumber children under five by 2050, reshaping labour markets, pension systems, and public health spending worldwide.

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